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ALFREDO COUTIÑO

Ph.D. in Economics

 

                                                                                    

PAPERS

PDF ARTICLES

 

Fed’s Monetary Policy Mistake and the US Post-Covid Economic Recovery

Journal of Policy Modeling, Vol. 45, Issue 3, May / June 2023. Elsevier.

 

Neutral Interest Rate: A Statistical Estimation

World Economics Journal, Vol 22-2, June 2021. London, UK.

 

Global Loss of Production Capacity Caused by the COVID-19 Pandemic

Journal of Policy Modeling, April 2021, Elsevier.

 

Remittances and The Myth of the Exchange Rate's Power: The Case of Mexico

Social Science Research Network, SSRN-Elsevier, March 2021.

 

Monetary Policy with Dual Mandate: An Optimization Problem

EconModels: Journal of Policy Modeling, August 2020, Elsevier.

 

Market Consensus: A Case of Biased Estimates

Studies of Applied Economics, Vol 38-3, March 2020. Spain.

 

Monetary Policymaking As An Optimization Exercise

Social Science Research Network, SSRN-Elsevier, September 2019.

 

Structural Fiscal Rule: A Better Discipline Than a Fiscal Council

Social Science Research Network, SSRN-Elsevier, November, 2017.

 

Income Inequality and the Role of Government: The Case of Mexico

Journal of Emerging Markets, Vol. 20, Spring-Fall 2016. St. John's University. NY.

 

Pitfalls in Monetary Policy Decisions Based on the Output Gap

Journal of Policy Modeling, Vol. 38, Issue 1, January / February 2016. Elsevier.

 

On the Predictive Power of L.R. Klein

Estudios de Economía Aplicada, Vol 33-2, Mayo 2015. Madrid, Spain.

 

Global Crisis' Impacts on Potential Growth in Latin America

Journal of Emerging Markets, vol. 18, Summer 2013. St. John's University. NY.

 

The Determinants of Mexico’s Limited Economic Cycle

Journal of Emerging Markets, vol. 16, No 2 & 3, Summer/Fall 2012. St. John's University. NY.

 

My Words to Lawrence R. Klein (1980 Nobel Laureate)

A Celebration of Lawrence  R. Klein; Students and Colleagues, Lulu Press, USA.

 

Una Propuesta de Cambio 2012-2018: Libre Mercado para el Progreso Social

Instituto Lucas Alamán, Mexico, Feb. 2012.

 

A Proposal for Change 2012-2018: Free Market to Promote Social Progress

Instituto Lucas Alamán, Mexico, Feb. 2012.

 

Dual-Objective Monetary Policy for Latin America

Journal of Emerging Markets, vol 15, No. 3, Fall/Winter 2011. St. John's University, NY.

 

Structural Fiscal Rule: A Proposal for Mexico

EconModels: Journal of Policy Modeling, October 2011, Elsevier.

 

Una Regla Fiscal Estructural Para México

Instituto Lucas Alamán, Mexico, Oct. 2010.

 

Mexico, Current Quarter Forecasts

The Making of National Economic Forecasts, edited by Lawrence R. Klein. Edward Elgar Publishing, Cheltenham, UK, 2009.

 

On the Use of High-Frequency Economic Information to Anticipate the Current Quarter GDP: A Study Case for Mexico

Journal of Policy Modeling, Vol 27, Issue 3, April 2005, pp.327-344.  Elsevier, North-Holland.

 

Enfoque Metodológico para un Modelo de Pronósticos de Alta Frecuencia para la Economía Mexicana

Revista Investigación Económica, Fac. de Economía, UNAM. Dic 2004.

 

Methodology For The High-Frequency Forecasting Model For Mexico

Project LINK, University of Toronto, June 2003.

 

A High-Frequency Model for the Mexican Economy

With Lawrence R. Klein. CIEMEX-WEFA, Philadelphia, PA. July 1999.

 

The Mexican Financial Crisis of December 1994 and Lessons to be Learned

With Lawrence R. Klein. Open Economies Review, volume 7: 501-510, supplement 1, 1996.

 

A Mexican Adjustment Scenario

With Lawrence R. Klein. CIEMEX-WEFA, Philadelphia, PA, May 1995.. November 2000.

 

 

 

© Alfredo Coutiño 2015. All rights reserved