AlfredoCoutino.com

Home Page

 

 

 

 

 

 

·        HOME

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ALFREDO COUTIÑO

Ph.D. in Economics

 

                                                                                    

PUBLICATIONS

                 INDEX

“Fed’s Monetary Policy Mistake and the US Post-Covid Economic Recovery”.  Journal of Policy Modeling, Vol. 45, Issue 3, May / June 2023. Elsevier.

“Neutral Interest Rate: A Statistical Estimation”, World Economics Journal, Vol 22-2, June 2021. London, UK

“Global Loss of Production Capacity Caused by the COVID-19 Pandemic”, Journal of Policy Modeling, April 2021, Elsevier.

“Remittances and The Myth of the Exchange Rate's Power: The Case of Mexico”, Social Science Research Network, SSRN-Elsevier, March 2021.

“Monetary Policy with Dual Mandate: An Optimization Problem”, EconModels: Journal of Policy Modeling, August 2020, Elsevier.

“Market Consensus: A Case of Biased Estimates”, Studies of Applied Economics, Vol 38-3, March 2020. Spain.

“Monetary Policymaking As An Optimization Exercise”, Social Science Research Network, SSRN-Elsevier, September 2019.

“Structural Fiscal Rule: A Better Discipline Than a Fiscal Council”, Social Science Research Network, SSRN-Elsevier, November 2017.

“Income Inequality and the Role of Government: The Case of Mexico”, Journal of Emerging Markets, vol. 20, Spring-Fall 2016. St. John's University. NY.

“Pitfalls in Monetary Policy Decisions Based on the Output Gap”, Journal of Policy Modeling, vol. 38, Issue 1, January / February 2016. Elsevier.

“On the Predictive Power of L.R. Klein” Estudios de Economía Aplicada, Vol 33-2, Mayo 2015. Madrid, Spain.

"Global Crisis' Impacts on Potential Growth in Latin America", Journal of Emerging Markets, vol. 18, Summer 2013. St. John's University. NY.

"The Determinants of Mexico’s Limited Economic Cycle", Journal of Emerging Markets, vol. 16, No 2 & 3, Summer/Fall 2012. St. John's University. NY.

"Una Propuesta de Cambio 2012-2018: Libre Mercado para el Progreso Social". Instituto Lucas Alaman, Mexico, Feb. 2012.

"Dual-Objective Monetary Policy for Latin America", Journal of Emerging Markets, vol 15, No. 3, Fall/Winter 2011. St. John's University, NY.

"Structural Fiscal Rule: A Proposal for Mexico", EconModels: Journal of Policy Modeling, October 2011, Elsevier.

“Mexico, Current Quarter Forecasts”,  in The Making of National Economic Forecasts, edited by Lawrence R. Klein. Edward Elgar Publishing, Cheltenham, UK, 2009.

“Latin American Decoupling: Myth or Reality?”. Dismal Scientist: LatAm,  May 2008, Moody’s Economy.com.

“Is Latin America Overheating?”. Dismal Scientist: LatAm,  August 2007, Moody’s Economy.com.

“Latin America Monetary Policy Barometer”. Dismal Scientist: LatAm,  monthly publication, Moody’s Economy.com.

“An Economic Strategy for Mexico (2007-2012)”. Dismal Scientist: LatAm,  December 2006, Moody’s Economy.com.

“Mexican Economic Outlook (2007-2012)”. Paper prepared for the Spring Meeting of Project LINK-United Nations. Beijing, China. Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and Institute for Policy Analysis, University of Toronto. May 2007.

“On the Use of High-Frequency Economic Information to Anticipate the Current Quarter GDP: A Study Case for Mexico”,  Journal of Policy Modeling, Vol 27,Issue 3, April 2005, pp.327-344.  Elsevier, North-Holland.

“Enfoque Metodológico para un Modelo de Pronósticos de Alta Frecuencia para la Economía Mexicana”,  Revista Investigación Económica, Fac. de Economía, UNAM. Dic 2004.

“Mexico’s Macroeconomic Perspectives: 2004-2006”, USMCOC Newsletter, Summer Issue, 2004. United States- Mexico Chamber of Commerce, New York.

“Lack of Reforms, Policies Prolong Mexico’s Economic Stagnation”, in Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast. Economic Outlook Center, Arizona State University. 4th Quarter 2003.

“The restrictions of Economic Growth in Mexico”, in Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast. Economic Outlook Center, Arizona State University. 4th Quarter 2002.

“The Driving Forces of the Mexican Economic Slowdown”, in Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast. Economic Outlook Center, Arizona State University. 3rd Quarter 2001.

“The Steady State of the Mexican Economy”, in L. Klein, L. Solis and A. Coutino, Essays on Macroeconomic Aspects of Mexico. Instituto de Investigación Económica y Social Lucas Alamán, A.C., México. November 2000.

“The Partial Adjustment of the Current Account to Fiscal Policy Changes: The Mexican Case”, in L. Klein, L. Solis and A. Coutino, Essays on Macroeconomic Aspects of Mexico. Instituto de Investigación Económica y Social Lucas Alamán, A.C., México. November 2000.

“The Speed of Adjustment of the Nominal Exchange Rate to the Differential of Inflations: The Mexican Evidence”, in L. Klein, L. Solis and A. Coutino, Essays on Macroeconomic Aspects of Mexico. Instituto de Investigación Económica y Social Lucas Alamán, A.C., México. November 2000.

“Mexican Economic Outlook (2000-2005)”. Paper prepared for the Fall Meeting of Project LINK-United Nations. Oslo, Norway. Institute for Policy Analysis, University of Toronto. October 2000.

 “A High-Frequency Model for the Mexican Economy”. With Lawrence R. Klein. CIEMEX-WEFA, Philadelphia, PA. July 1999. Reprinted in L. Klein, L. Solis and A. Coutino, Essays on Macroeconomic Aspects of Mexico. Instituto de Investigación Económica y Social Lucas Alamán, A.C., México. November 2000.

“Mexico’s  Strong Economic Fundamentals Temper Impact of External Shocks”, in Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast. Economic Outlook Center, Arizona State University. 3rd Quarter 1998.

“Mexican Economic Outlook (1998-2003)”. Paper prepared for the Fall Meeting of Project LINK-United Nations. Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Institute for Policy Analysis, University of Toronto. September 1998.

“Mexican Economic Outlook (1998-2002)”. Paper prepared for the Spring Meeting of Project LINK-United Nations. United Nations Headquarters, New York. Institute for Policy Analysis, University of Toronto. March 1998.

“The Mexican Financial Crisis of December 1994 and Lessons to be Learned”. With Lawrence R. Klein, in The Collapse of Exchange Rate Regimes: Causes Consequences and Policy Responses, edited by George S. Tavlas. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston/Dordrecht/London, 1997.

“The Mexican Financial Crisis of December 1994 and Lessons to be Learned”. With Lawrence R. Klein. Open Economies Review, volume 7: 501-510, supplement 1, 1996.

 “A Mexican Adjustment Scenario”. With Lawrence R. Klein. CIEMEX-WEFA, Philadelphia, PA, May 1995. Reprinted in L. Klein, L. Solis and A. Coutino, Essays on Macroeconomic Aspects of Mexico. Instituto de Investigación Económica y Social Lucas Alamán, A.C., México. November 2000.

“Mexican Economic Outlook (1995-2000)”. Paper prepared for the Fall Meeting of Project LINK-United Nations. University of Pretoria, South Africa. Institute for Policy Analysis, University of Toronto. September 1995.

“Mexican Economic Outlook (1995-2000)”. Paper prepared for the Spring Meeting of Project LINK-United

Nations. United Nations Headquarters, New York. Institute for Policy Analysis, University of Toronto. March

1995.

 

 

 

© Alfredo Coutiño 2015. All rights reserved