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ALFREDO COUTIÑO

Ph.D. in Economics

 

                                                                                     

FULL PROFILE

                 INTRODUCTION

 

Alfredo Coutiño is Director for Latin America at Moody’s Analytics in West Chester, Pennsylvania, where he is the Chief Economist in charge of the region’s economic analysis and forecast since January 2005. From 2002 to 2004, he was the Director of the Center for Economic Forecasting of Mexico (CKF), an economic consulting firm based in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Dr. Coutiño is an economist trained at the Center for Econometric Research on Mexico of the Wharton Econometric Forecasting Associates, where he was the Director of Macroeconomic Analysis from 2000 to 2002. Previously, from 1992 to 1996, he was the Director of Macroeconometric Models at Wharton Econometrics (WEFA). His experience as an economist includes more than 25 years working on macroeconomic analysis and policy, economic consulting, econometric modeling and forecasting for Latin America and few other countries. He developed the first High-Frequency Forecasting Model for the Mexican Economy (Current Quarter Model) under the supervision of Nobel Laureate in Economics Lawrence R. Klein from the University of Pennsylvania. He completed the Ph.D. program in economics at Temple University in Philadelphia, and obtained the Ph.D. degree from the University of Madrid. He has been co-author with Lawrence Klein of a series of papers on modeling and analysis for the Mexican economy. Mr. Coutiño has been the national representative of Mexico to the World Macroeconometric Model-Project LINK of the United Nations since 1994. He is extensively quoted by national and international newspapers and magazines and is a contributor for radio and TV news, including WSJ, Financial Times, Bloomberg, Reuters, Forbes, AP, CNN, NBC and Radio France International. Dr. Coutiño has given conferences on Latin America and Emerging Markets at the United Nations, the American Economic Association, and in economic forums in different countries. He has also worked for the Mexican government in the areas of economic policy and analysis. Regular contributor to the Inter-American Dialogue.

 

EDUCATION

 

University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain (Ph.D. 2004)

Ph.D. Program in Applied Economics (2002-2004)

Ph.D. Dissertation: A High-Frequency Forecasting Model for the Mexican Economy. An econometric system to   anticipate quarterly GDP using high-periodicity information on economic activity, financial markets, futures, forwards and expectations.

Supervisor: Dr. Lawrence R. Klein, 1980 Nobel Laureate in Economics.

 

Temple University, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (1996-1999)

Ph.D. Program in Economics, Sept 98-Dec 99, (candidate).

M.A. Program in Economics, May 1998.

 

ITAM, Mexico City, Mexico

M.A.: Economics, May 1988

 

UNAM, Mexico City, Mexico

B.A.: Economics, Nov 1985

 

EXPERIENCE

 

Moody’s Analytics. West Chester, PA.

Director for Latin America, Jan 2005 –To Date.

Chief economist in charge of the macroeconomic analysis, modeling and forecasting of     

the Latin American region, with focus on the main economies. Regional Outlook,  

Country reports, Real-time analysis, Policy simulations, and Public presentations.

 

Center for Economic Forecasting of Mexico (CKF), Philadelphia, PA

Director, 2002 – 2004.

Chief economist in charge of the macroeconomic analysis, modeling and forecasting of 

the Mexican economy. Conferences on the Mexican economy, and training seminars on 

modeling and applied econometrics. Database management and use of high-frequency

indicators for Mexico and the U.S.

 

Ciemex-Wharton Econometrics (WEFA), Philadelphia, PA

Director of Macroeconomic Analysis, 2000 – 2002.       

Short-term and long-term modeling and forecasting for Mexico and Latin America. 

Macroeconomic analysis,  and high-frequency forecast for key economic indicators. 

Conferences and Presentations on  Mexico and Latin America.

 

Department of Economics, Temple University, Philadelphia, PA

Graduate Teaching Assistant, 1997 – 1999.

Instructor of Macroeconomics, Microeconomics, and International Finance at theB.A.

level.

 

Ciemex-Wharton Econometrics (WEFA), Philadelphia, PA

Director of Macroeconometric Models, 1992 – 1996.       

Econometric modeling and forecasting of the Mexican economy. Database management 

and analysis of the main economic indicators. Reports, conferences and presentations

on the Mexican economy.

 

Office of Economic Policy, Ministry of Planning and Budgeting, Mexico City,  Mexico.

Under-Director of Macroeconomic Policy, 1989 - 1991.      

 

Council of Economic Advisers, Office of the President of Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico.

Economist – Support to the Advisers, 1988.

 

 

 

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